

PREMISE
The objective of this site is to provide investors with an overview of asset
management alternatives to watch during the
secular bear stock market
which began in early 2000. The 18 year cycle goes back many years. See table
below for the approximate range for the last 5 cycles and probable duration
of the current cycle.
|
CYCLE
|
YEARS
|
|
Bull
|
1911-1928
|
|
Bear
|
1929-1947
|
|
Bull
|
1948-1965
|
|
Bear
|
1966-1981
|
|
Bull
|
1982-1999
|
|
Bear
|
2000-2017
|
The pattern of these long investment cycles tends to show reversal trends
from the prior cycle with the magnitude of the reversal being somewhat in
proportion ot the magnitude of the prior move in prices.
This analysis, while clean in overall perspective, will upon close review,
show a lot of lesser cross-currents in market direction and periods when investments
in various categories outperform other categories. For purposes of our screening
we look at invesments in the following categores:
For Hedge Fund Managers
we monitor trading/investment programs in all the above categories...with
trade durations of various lengths depending on investment sector. Stock
Investments are unique in that a very short-term program (3-day
duration) is also available to complement the more traditional long-term durations.